Standard Presentation (12 minutes) Australian Marine Sciences Association 2025 Conference

Thermal Tolerance Data can be Used to Forewarn Species Response to Climate Impacts at Both Broad and Local Scales  (119736)

Nicole Said 1 , Chanelle Webster 1 2 , Natasha Dunham 1 , Simone Strydom 3 , Matthew Adams 4 , Kathryn McMahon 1
  1. Centre for Marine Ecosystems Research, Edith Cowan University, Joondalup, WA, Australia
  2. Centre for Marine Science & Innovation, University of New South Wales , Sydney, NSW, Australia
  3. Marine Science Program, Department of Biodiversity, Conservation and Attractions, Kensington , WA, Australia
  4. School of Mathematical Sciences and Centre for Data Science, Queensland University of Technology, Brisbane, QLD, Australia

Under a changing climate it is imperative that we understand how species may respond to temperature impacts, which can differ among populations of the same species due to local drivers. Thermal tolerance data, which can be used to assess an organism’s upper thermal limits, is valuable to identify species and/or populations’ susceptibility to thermal stress. This study assessed the variation in thermal tolerance of six seagrass species at both broad latitudinal (~500-1000 km) and local scales (~25 km). Photosynthesis-temperature curves (15-45 °C) were conducted, by measuring oxygen in closed incubation chambers, and thermal optima (Topt) was extracted. We found that 1) Topt varied by almost 10 °C between six species, and 2) Topt for the same species differed by up to 4 °C across both broad and local scales, but with no consistent patterns across latitude. This highlights that thermal performance does not necessarily reflect thermal geography of a seagrass species range, and that other environmental variables may play a role in how species respond to temperature. Overall, while some seagrass species may benefit from small increases in temperature, heatwaves are likely to have negative implications for five of the six species assessed, with greater impacts occurring in tropical regions.